2013 NHL Round 2 Predictions

I went 7-1 with my first round predictions, with the only blemish being with my beloved Canucks. I started this post earlier, but had to come back to it with the Leafs providing the biggest game 7 3rd period collapse in NHL playoff history. Ok enough Leafs harassment…on with the picks.

Eastern Conference

(1) Pittsburgh vs. (7) Ottawa

Prediction: Pens in 7

The annoying storyline that will dominate the start of this series will be the Cooke and Karlsson storyline. That story will die quickly and instead the focus will be the hot Craig Anderson vs. the offensive powerhouse Pens. I think in the end the Pens are just too deep for the young Sens to handle. The Sens will give the Pens everything they can handle though and I see this one going the distance.

(4) Boston vs. (6) New York Rangers

Prediction: Rangers in 6

Both of these teams must be a little weary coming off emotional 7 game series’ in the first round. I picked the Rangers to make the cup final in my pre-season picks so I guess I have to keep riding with them. These two teams match up well in regards to size, goaltending, defence, grit, coaching, etc…but the reason I like the Rangers most in this series is they seem to be the healthier squad coming into the series. Boston’s D were dropping like flies in the latter part of the Leafs series and will struggle if the likes of Seidenberg, Ference and Redden remain out for long.

Western Conference

(1) Chicago vs. (7) Detroit

Prediction: Hawks in 6

These 2 teams played each other close all season long, with many of the games needing OT. The Hawks in my opinion are just too deep up front and in the back for the Wings to handle. The Wings young D will struggle against the high powered Chicago offense. I also have a bunch of Hawks in the playoff pool so I need them to win.

(5) Los Angeles vs. (6) San Jose

Prediction: Kings in 7

This one is a toss up in my opinion. I give the edge to the Kings because they are the champs and they know what it takes to win…while the Sharks have Joe Thornton…However, the Kings better be careful not to take careless penalties like the Canucks did because the Sharks PP is lethal.

 


Canucks Postmortem 2013

I wanted to take a few days to collect my thoughts before writing this post. If I wrote this the day of or the day after the Canucks were swept out of the playoffs I would have probably went on a highly expletive filled rant calling for the entire organization to light itself on fire. I still may do this by the time I’m done this post…but anyhoo. The Canucks have disappointed it’s impatient fan base yet again. This time in premium fashion, getting their sh%$ handed to them in an embarrassing 4 game sweep. The days that have followed have been filled with many ideas from the fan base, most of these ideas being of the lets publicly execute the entire team variety. In this post I am going to give my evaluation of  the Canucks and what I would do if some voodoo magic occurred and I woke up as Mike Gillis tomorrow.

If I woke up as Mike Gillis I obviously can’t fire myself, but I would do something stupid to convince the owners to fire me (yeah I could resign, but might as well go out like a bauss). Gillis has been awful in the draft as the Canucks have zero help in terms of NHL ready prospects to help fill some holes in the line up. His trades have also blown thick chunks. His trades with Florida have been awful with both Booth and Ballard likely headed for a buyout this summer. Another area where he has failed miserably is in the re-signing department. I’m not complaining about the players he kept, it’s the contracts that have ruined this teams finances for the next decade. He also has given out no trade clauses like candy making it next to impossible to move any pieces that have any sort of value. Gillis has been awful and unfortunately he’ll likely be kept as the owners seem to for some reason still have confidence in the guy.

"Hey, fire me already."

“Hey! Fire me already.”

With Gillis likely staying the next thing that needs to be addressed is the coaching staff. If I was the GM I would have fired AV at last Thursday’s press conference. This wouldn’t be out of anger, it would be out of respect. Why drag the guy along for weeks if you know in your heart you’re going to fire him anyway. 2 first round exits all but seal his fate even though he has delivered winning season after wining season.  We all know in sports, the coach is always the fall guy when a team repeatedly falls below expectations. AV’s been a great coach for the Canucks and deserves to be let go as soon as possible so he can find employment quickly.

Now onto the players. The first thing that needs to be looked at is the goalie situation. Gillis made a mess of this situation, first by signing Lu to an outrageous contract and second, by not trading Lu before or during the season. The never ending soap opera between the pipes had to wear on the locker room in some way. Trading Lu now for any type of real value will be next to impossible. He’s still a good goalie and many teams would love to have him as their guy; however, everyone knows Gillis is desperate and thus, will offer garbage for the franchise’s best ever goalie. This next scenario won’t happen, but if I was GM I would be bold and move Schneider. Why? Not because I think Lu is a vastly superior goalie, but because Cory would bring back much more in a trade than Lu. Would you trade Schneider to Colorado for the #1 pick in this year’s draft and maybe also get some other useful parts back? I would in a heartbeat.

"Nice knowing you man."

“Nice knowing you man.”

How about the rest of the “core” players? I’m talking the Sedins, Kesler, Bieksa, Edler, Hamhuis, Burrows. Are any of these guys untouchable? I don’t think any of them are untouchable per se, but I would lean on keeping the twins, Kesler and Bieksa. I know the twins have been awful in the playoffs and seem to be slowing down a bit, but they are still premier offensive players that are hard to find/replace. Kesler and Bieksa are the heart and soul of this team. We’ve seen what happens when either of these 2 guys are out of the lineup. Hamhuis and Burrows are good players, but I think they are expendable. The twins can work their magic with almost anyone being the 3rd wheel. Hansen and Kassian looked just fine in their limited moments with the twins. If Burrows could bring back some draft picks or some younger blood I’d send him packing. Hamhuis still is thought of as a premier defender and for good reason. He’s also a BC boy so parting with him would be tough, but trading the hammer would definitely bring some tasty treats back. With a solid Garrison and youngsters Tanev and Corrado, the Canucks may have some room to move one or two of their premier D. If the Canucks can find a taker who thinks Alex Edler is still going to be the next Nick Lidstrom they should ship him to this fool immediately. Edler just does not look like he is going to be the #1 defenceman the Canucks thought he’d be. His mobility is questionable, his shot is hard but rarely finds the net, his zone coverage is borderline dreadful and his passing ability is definitely not Lidstrom-esque let alone Salo-esque.

#1 D-man? Doubtful

How about the 2nd tier players? Hansen, Higgins, Kassian, Raymond, Roy, Lapierre…I can tell you right now UFA’s Roy and Raymond are not coming back. If Raymond somehow comes back I’ll throw pooh at Rogers Arena. He has been awful…useless even. He has great speed and a decent shot; however, his skate into the zone and stop at the halfboards to fall or give the puck away routine is downright infuriating. Please don’t do it Gillis…please just let Raymond go. Roy is skilled and the Canucks need more guys like him, but he’s not worth $5 mil per. Hansen is solid and I’d try to lock him up with an extension. Hansen could probably play with the twins and thrive, he’s gotten better every year. Higgins has already been extended and is a valuable asset that can play anywhere in the lineup. Kassian is a beast and will only get better. I want to see the big toothless youngster up in the top 6 next year. Lappy is solid in the faceoff circle and would be a decent 4th line plugger if he still will play for around a $1mil per. Anything more and I’d pass.

As you can see I’m not liking a complete blow up of this team; however, I am saying some of the premium talent needs to be shipped out for skill, youth and picks. The team needs playmakers, snipers, feisty bangers, guys who will get ploughed in front of the net and still keep an evil smile on their face. Too many times do we see the Canucks race into the zone and keep all their play to the perimeter and hope a wrist shot from 40 feet will hit off 4 sticks and go into the net. They also desperately need a 3rd line centre. Ever since they lost Malholtra they have not had a consistent 3rd line. Higgins and Weise would be solid on a 3rd line…man would Steve Ott look good between them…sigh.

As I mentioned earlier the Canucks are devoid of NHL ready prospects. It will be tricky to both build for the future in acquiring picks, but also keeping a playoff worthy roster. I think it’s definitely possible, but if Gillis makes anymore trade gaffs we could be looking at a Calgary Flames situation here in Vancouver…you know, a team with no hope for 8-10 years.


2013 NHL Round 1 Predictions

The playoffs start today…actually they start in less than 10 minutes so I better get these predictions in quick. Looks like Nick Backstrom already hurt himself in warm-up.

Western Conference

(1) Chicago vs (8) Minnesota

Prediction: Hawks in 5

This should be pure destruction. The $100 million dollar men in Ryan Suter and Zach Parise can’t win this on their own. The Hawks are far superior in every facet of the game. Good night

(2) Anaheim vs (7) Detroit

Prediction: Wings in 7

Yes, the Wings are not the same dynamo they’ve been in recent years, but they are still dangerous. Jimmy Howard is far superior than either of the 2 Anaheim backstops and can win this series all on his own. Factor that in alongside the Boudreau playoff curse and we’ve got ourselves an upset.

(3) Vancouver vs (6) San Jose

Prediction: Canucks in 7

The Canucks are lucky they have home ice advantage in this series. If it was reverse I’d be inclined to take the Sharks. The Canucks have been playing better of late and a lot of that can be attributed to the return of Ryan Kesler and the addition of Derek Roy. How serious is this Schneider mystery injury? I say he’s in there for game 1. In true Canucks fashion they give half the city a heart attack and win by 1 goal in game 7.

(4) St. Louis vs (5) Los Angeles

Prediction: Kings in 7

The Blues are the sexy pick, but I still like the defending champs’ chances in this one. These teams are very similar; however, I trust Jonathan Quick to pull through in the clutch more so than I do Mr. Elliott. Expect to see a ridiculous amount of 1 goal games and possibly a few shutouts as well. Whoever comes out of this series will be beat up bad.

Eastern Conference

(1) Pittsburgh vs (8) New York Islanders 

Prediction: Penguins in 6

Expect to see the opposite of the Blues and Kings series. These two teams can light the lamp. The Pens are just too much for the up and coming Islanders, but I do expect to see the Islanders win a couple of these high scoring shootouts. Sidney Crosby comes back game 1…you know he will.

(2) Montreal vs (7) Ottawa

Prediction: Sens in 7

After the Sens lost Jason Spezza and then Erik Karlsson I thought they were done. However, Paul MacLean worked some magic and kept his boys believing. Now that Karlsson has made a miracle comeback, this team is high as a kite. The Habs had an amazing year; however, they ended the year not so hot. Carey Price better find his A game soon or it could be an early exit for the Habs. I think the Sens keep riding the MacLean magic into an upset.

(3) Washington vs (6) New York Rangers

Prediction: Rangers in 7

It seems like these teams always end up playing each other in the playoffs. This is an amazing match up. Alex Ovechkin comes into this series as the hottest player on the planet. Can the Rangers contain the Rocket Richard Trophy winner? I think they can. They have an all-world goalie in Lundqvist and a solid d-corps. The blue shirts can also light the lamp and have been clicking on all cylinders since the wheeling and dealing of deadline day. They also better win because I picked up a bunch of them in my work playoff pool.

(4) Boston vs (5) Toronto

Prediction: Bruins in 5

Congratulations to the Leafs for making it back to the playoffs. Unfortunately for them they have to play a team that owns them. This will be a good learning experience for the Leafs, but in the end the Bruins are just too deep, too big, too skilled and too good in net. Maybe if the Leafs traded for Luongo they’d have a…nah, they’d still lose.


2013 MLB Predictions

Yeah I know the season’s already a week old, but better late than ever to dish out my yearly MLB predictions. My predictions for last year weren’t too awful, I did pick the World Series match up correctly; however, I also picked Lincecum for the Cy Young. Ok so feel free to laugh at the following predictions.

AL EAST

  1. Toronto
  2. New York (w)
  3. Tampa Bay
  4. Boston
  5. Baltimore

Yup, a total biased pick here, but now is the time for my Blue Jays. The super powers in the Yankees and Red Sox are both ageing and not as formidable as they usually are. The Blue Jays have the deepest line-up and the best rotation in this division. The Jays have started off cold, but it’s only a matter of time before the line up starts putting up crooked numbers and the rotation starts shutting teams down.

HR King? (FRED THORNHILL/REUTERS)

HR King? (FRED THORNHILL/REUTERS)

AL CENTRAL

  1. Detroit
  2. KC
  3. Chicago
  4. Minnesota
  5. Cleveland

This division is weak sauce so the defending AL champs should be able to win this division rather comfortably…although I said that last year and it wasn’t like they dominated the division. The Royals are loaded with talent, their rotation is somewhat decent for a change and they also have a solid bullpen…I think they’ll come close to a wild card this year.

KC Studs

KC Studs

AL WEST

  1. Texas
  2. LA (w)
  3. Seattle
  4. Oakland
  5. Houston

The Rangers are still the class of this division in my opinion. I like their rotation and bullpen much more than the Angels. Yeah the Angels have 3 of the most feared hitters in the game, but if they can’t stop the other team from scoring it won’t matter. Seattle is an up and coming team..watch Dustin Ackley go buck this year. Houston…yikes that’s an awful team.

Jurickson Profar. Will be a stud one day

Jurickson Profar. Will be a stud one day

NL EAST

  1. Atlanta
  2. Washington (w)
  3. Philadelphia
  4. New York
  5. Miami
Cy Young?

Cy Young?

This was a tough one for me to pick, but I really like Atlanta’s outfield and that’s what gives them the slight edge over the Nats. Both teams have strong rotations and bullpens, this will be a battle until the bitter end. I’ll give the Nats one of the wildcards.

NL CENTRAL

  1. Cincinnati
  2. St. Louis
  3. Pittsburgh
  4. Milwaukee
  5. Chicago

If I had to choose a favourite team in the NL it would have to be the Reds. They have a strong lineup, a deep rotation and lights out bullpen. The Cards are a strong team as well and are likely to take at least a wildcard spot.

Canadian super stud

Canadian super stud

NL WEST

  1. Arizona
  2. San Francisco
  3. Los Angeles
  4. Colorado
  5. San Diego

I’m banking on a World Series hangover by the Giants this year. I’m thinking the Diamondbacks can challenge the champs this year for the NL West crown. They have the line up, rotation and bullpen to do it. The Dodgers have blown all of Magic Johnson’s money, but I just don’t trust that rotation past Kershaw.

Paul Goldschmidt and the Diamondbacks should give the Giants a run for their money.

Paul Goldschmidt and the Diamondbacks should give the Giants a run for their money.

Here are my trophy/hardware predictions for the season:

AL Winner: Toronto

NL Winner: Cincinnati

World Series Winner: Toronto

AL MVP: Jose Bautista

NL MVP: Joey Votto

AL CY Young: Yu Darvish

NL CY Young: Stephen Strasburg

AL Rookie of the Year: Wil Myers

NL Rookie of the Year: Adam Eaton

AL Batting Champ: Miguel Cabrera

NL Batting Champ: Joey Votto

AL HR King: Jose Bautista

NL HR King: Jay Bruce

 


Frustrated Incorporated

How frustrated are you Canucks nation? With last night’s loss the Canucks have lost 4 in a row and are just 3-7 in their last 10 games. This recent skid now has them out of first place in the weak ass Northwest Division. The Canucks are also just 1 point away from being outside the playoff picture. All of the above has the city of Vancouver in rage mode looking for someone to blame.

Before we start pointing fingers lets take a hard look at this roster…

  • The Sedin’s are still magical when they are not getting crosschecked in the face by an opposing #1 d pairing
  • The rest of the forwards are all highly effective…grinders
  • There are 2 dependable d-men in Bieksa and Hamhuis. With a bright up and coming Chris Tanev not too far behind.
  • Luongo is the most expensive backup goalie currently playing in the NHL
  • Schneider was thought to be a slam dunk to be the goalie of the future, but his inconsistent play has made his #1 status questionable
  • Alex Edler is being paid like a #1 defenseman, but has often looked like the 6th best defenseman on the ice
  • Speaking of 6th defenseman, Jason Garrison is so far looking like the 2nd coming of Keith Ballard…another bust from Florida
  • Ryan Kelser is turning into a studlier Sami Salo, taking over as the Canucks new Mr. Glass. A brittle #2 centre who’s not a 40 goal scorer, but is depended on as one
  • The once loaded middle of the ice is now a team weakness
  • Max Lapierre is now depended on as the #1 faceoff man…far cry from having the ability to have Malholtra and Kesler out there for an important draw
  • There is ZERO offensive skill or creativity other than the Sedins. No danglers, no playmakers, no snipers, no one who can score on a frigging breakaway
  • Mason Raymond, Chris Higgins or Alex Burrows as your #2 centre…goooooooodnight
  • A former top five power play and penalty kill that all of a sudden blows chunks
With all the above, are you really that surprised at how the Canucks have fared so far this season?
Look at all the top teams in the league right now, the Hawks, Ducks, Kings, Bruins…heck even the Habs…they have SKILLED offensive players. Not just players who can skate up and down the ice and fall down, but players who can create, who can make that nice saucer pass, guys who can pick the top corner, guys who can score on a breakaway without relying on a twin to feed them a pass through 6 skates for a backdoor tap in.
Please just end this falling relationship

Please just end this falling relationship

The injuries to the 2 heart and soul players in Kesler and Bieksa hasn’t helped, but even with them this team is a shell of the 2010 team that went all the way to game 7 of the cup final.
Didn't think I'd miss you this much Sami

Didn’t think I’d miss you this much Sami

I’m still confident the Canucks will find a way to overtake the Wild and eek out another Northwest crown, but after that…unless Lu goes on a possessed Patrick Roy like playoff run (that’s right I said Lu) I don’t see much happening with the roster the way it currently is.
So to wrap things up who is to blame? The easy choice would be the coach, but he can only do so much with what he’s given. I think if anyone is to blame it’s the GM. His attempts at making this team better than the team that came one win from the cup just haven’t panned out. Here’s hoping when he makes his next big trade involving one of the goalies, he gets the better end of the deal for once.

What’s up with the ‘Nucks?

Tonight is game #20 for the Canucks and they find themselves in familiar territory; first in the Northwest. However, it’s not like they’re running away with the division. The wild sit just 2 points back and the Oilers just 4 back. After winning 6 straight from January 30 to February 12 the Canucks are just 2-5 since.

So what has gone wrong in the last stretch? This is Vancouver, so naturally let’s take a look at the goalies first. During the 6 game win streak the Canucks were being spoiled with Vezina Award winning performances by the goalies. In the 6 game win streak the goalies gave up more than 1 goal in a game only once. In the 7 games since, the goalies have given up 3 or more goals in all but 1 game and that was against a horrid Nashville offensive attack.

So this looks pretty simple from the above evidence, it has to be the goalies…

However, I don’t think it is. I think the lights-out goaltending was carrying this team earlier and masking the team’s shortcomings. The Canucks are seen as one of the deepest line-ups in the league and I believe they still are. However, being deep and being loaded with talent are 2 very different things. The Canucks seem to be back to where they were in the days of Bertuzzi, Naslund, and Morrison  where they would rely too much on the top line and pray to the ice gods that they would get some secondary scoring. The Canucks have a bunch of useful forwards that many teams would love to have, but they don’t have many forwards who can consistently put the puck in the net or at least create some chances.

2nd line centre? shudder

2nd line centre? shudder

Don’t get me wrong, I love the likes of guys such as Hansen, Higgins, and Kassian but do any of those players scream out offensive dynamo to you? Ryan Kesler poses some offensive threat, but even when he has been somewhat healthy he hasn’t looked close to the 40 goal scorer he was 2 years ago. With Kesler latest injury it looks like Mason Raymond slips into the 2nd line centre role…barf in my mouth. The Canucks have great speed and for the first time in ages have fairly good size and grit; however, they are sorely lacking playmakers, snipers and danglers (NHL video game styles). It’s all good to get the puck deep and get a hit in on a d-man, but once you get the puck below the goal line you need to be able to do something with it other than passing it to the point and pray for a seeing eye single through 6 bodies and into the top corner of the net.

With the lack of secondary scoring the Canucks rely on their back end to chip in with some offense, particularly Alex Edler and Jason Garrison. Edler has been steady with 12 points so far, good enough for 3rd in team scoring. However, Garrison has been downright dreadful. Garrison was paid big bucks for his booming shot and was expected to be a force from the point on the PP. Unfortunately he hasn’t been able to get on track with his slapper and has found himself off the PP on many nights. Garrison’s struggles may be a reason the perennial top tier PP in the league sits at 12th best so far.

If only he could hit the net with that shot...

If only he could hit the net with that shot…

There are other leaks that need to be plugged up such as a PK unit that sits at 21st in the league, a once top 5 faceoff team now sitting at 22nd in the league, 2 superstar goalies trying to be the man yet neither seem to want to be, a defenseman in Alex Edler that needs to start showing he can be a #1 d-man night in and night out…yikes this is getting depressing so I’ll stop.

With all the above evidence I paint a bleak picture for the Canucks, but all hope is not lost. When you have a stud goalie you always have a chance and the Canucks have 2. The Canucks still have the best offensive duo in the league (yeah yeah that’s slightly biased) and have a strong back end that should be able to shut down any team. However, they are going to need to find some form of secondary scoring because we all know come playoff time the Sedins will be on lock down against guys like Keith, Seabrook, Doughty.

Familiar playoff pic

Familiar playoff pic

Hmm, maybe a trade might help…

 

 


The Days of Our Pipes

Like sands through an hourglass...

Like sands through an hourglass…

The soap opera between the pipes continues in Vancouver. We have the young ginger hero who secured the absolute trust and undying love from the Canuck faithful after only playing a whopping 40% of the games last year and 30% the year before. This hero was to usurp the evil Italian French Canadian antagonist who is only the best goalie to ever put on a Canucks uniform and has been a consistent top tier goalie for years.

The fans were seemingly going to get their wish of eliminating the older and more proven goalie with a trade for a bag of pucks. However, in a shocking plot twist the villain has refused to die and instead has showed his haters he’s still got game. He’s also started to show the haters he’s not just a snobby overpaid millionaire, but a cool guy who you’d love to have a beer with. His media scrums have shown a calm, cool demeanor with a sense of humour and his Twitter feed has been a daily source of hilarity. His solid play along with his “I don’t care what you haters say, I’m just doing my job and having fun” attitude has somehow mindfucked the haters into now loving him again. This proves once again we have the most messed up fans in the league. We’ll boo the shat out of an all-star so that we can get a young unproven back-up to take his job, but then the next minute we’ll boo the shat out of the young guy for being young and cheer on the underdog veteran to take his job back. WTF? Just messed.

To make things even worse, we have RIDICULOUS sports media outlets who are trying to make the Vancouver goalie situation into the biggest controversy ever to hit professional sports. Are you serious? How can having two solid goalies be a bad thing? If one starts sucking, you put the other one in and the team doesn’t miss a beat. If one gets injured you have the other one who can step in. It would be a controversy if one or both of the guys involved started being a cancer for the team, pouting on the bench, trying to divide the locker room, etc. However, there is no evidence of either of these guys doing any of this. These two guys genuinely seem to have respect for each other.

I feel the love...can you?

I feel the love…can you?

I will admit, I really thought Lu was a goner after last season ended. He still might be, but his play so far this season has to have increased the asking price for his services. He’s come into this season with the right attitude. He seems more relaxed and seems to be relishing his underdog status.  I think this attitude has really helped out his game. He knows he has the ‘chosen one’ behind him so if he messes up oh well…he was expected to right? Because he’s just a piece of Swiss cheese to this town anyways.

So really Vancouver, stop listening to these media guys trying to stir crap up out of nothing. There are no problems with the goaltending in Vancouver. Just sit back and be happy that you have the best goalie tandem in the league (shut up St. Louis). Secondary scoring though…that’s a whole other post…

 


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